It’s currently Thursday morning, and if I step outside the office, I’m fairly certain I’ll need a snorkel.
The Lowveld has been under a relentless, grey curtain for nearly seven days now. What was initially predicted to be a catastrophic 450mm dump in a single week, thanks to an intense low-pressure system swirling in the Mozambique Channel, has, thankfully, been a little more measured. We’ve clocked about 220mm so far. It’s a lot, but it’s not the “Noah’s Ark” scenario we were prepping for.
For those who follow long-term weather predictions for the 2026 season, you’ll know this was on the cards. The models suggested an above-average start to the summer followed by a dry taper-off. Right now, those models are looking to be pretty spot on.
The Scientific Silver Lining
From an ecological standpoint, this is pure gold. While we might be grumbling about wet socks and muddy boots, the ecosystem is exhaling.
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The Water Table: This kind of sustained, soaking rain is exactly what’s needed to recharge the deep aquifers, elevating the underground water table that will carry the bushveld through to the next season.
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The Drainage Lines: Every single “dry” river bed is currently a moving stream. It’s a literal lifeline for the smaller creatures—the frogs are in an absolute frenzy, and the insect biomass is about to explode, which means a feast for everything up the food chain.
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The Sand River: You can hear it thundering through right in front of camp—a constant, guttural roar as it surges over the rocks. It’s a powerful reminder of who really runs this landscape.
The “Logistical” Reality Check
While we lean more into the positives, we also have to be honest about the toll this takes. This much water flowing over the ground brings a heavy hand of complications. Erosion is currently at an all-time high; with every road essentially doubling as a stream, the surfaces have taken a serious beating. We’re seeing deep gullies forming on the banks and even the edges of our most solid roads being eaten away by the sheer volume of runoff.
For the wildlife, the novelty of the “big wet” wore off days ago. Movement is laboured, hunting is a soggy nightmare, and staying warm is a full-time job. For the Ximungwe female, the stakes are particularly high as she tries to navigate this landscape while looking after her cubs in a world that is currently more liquid than solid.
The roads themselves are a mixed bag of “decent” and “an absolute no-go.” Some remain hard and intact, yet they’ve eroded dangerously on the margins. Others have transformed into a highly viscous chocolate pudding. Even on the crests, where the larger-grained soils usually offer good drainage, the ground is completely saturated and out of bounds. Simply put, if you were to even try to turn around and put two wheels off the road, you’d be bogged down instantly.
To be blunt: we are not going off-road. The risk of getting a three-ton Land Rover buried to the axles is one thing, but the unnecessary compaction and erosion damage to the soil is a price we aren’t willing to pay.
Spotted Through the Mist
It’s a test of patience for our guests, but the rangers have been incredible, threading the needle through gaps in the weather to find the wildlife that is, quite frankly, just as over the rain as we are. The animals don’t have the luxury of a dry lounge or a warm fire to come back to, so they’re making do. We’ve had some remarkable luck in what has been found, given that is basically has to be visible from the road and that it is almost pointless trying to track an animal into the block.
- The Othawa Pack of Wild dogs was found resting right alongside the main access road.
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The Dark-maned Gijima Male was seen looking particularly bedraggled but still formidable, he then met up with two other lions from the Msuthlu Pride.
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A lone Ntsevu Lioness was seen in the clearings just south of the river and was calling, trying to meet up with the rest of the pride, who were actually seen on the other side of the raging river, so it is likely to be a while before they can reunite.
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On the leopard front, both the Tinxiya and Ximungwe Females have made appearances. For the Ximungwe Female, the stakes are high. We know she has given birth, and this wet weather adds a serious layer of complexity to keeping her cubs safe and warm.
We’re expecting a few more days of this before the system hopefully moves off. Until then, we’ll be watching the river rise, listening to the frogs, and waiting for that first post-rain sunset that usually makes all this dampness worthwhile.







Thanks for the weather update!
You are welcome, Pierre.
Hi, Sean! Possible to send a picture from the Varty deck? Stay safe, Linda
Hi Linda. Thanks so much. Sure.
Yowse, what a different environment the bush has become in the aftermath of all that rain! I’d love to see – and especially hear – the Sand River crashing over the rocks outside of camp and watch herds of elephants frolic in the rain and mud. Not much fun for you having to live in the wet, but so much better than sitting here with the flu!
The bush is completely underwater at the moment and the river is pumping. But as you say it has become a bit of a nuisance living in the constant wet.
Good news and difficult news: it’s great that the table water and the river are full and you will probably have enough water for the rest of the year. Not so nice are the difficulties some animals have, especially the Ximungwe Female and her cubs. Keep my fingers crossed that they will come out of this in good health.
And, of course, it is certainly a bit annoying for the guests. But that’s nature.
It is nature and completely out of our control, so we just have to deal with it. I really hope that the Ximungwe Female is able t keep her cubs alive and we are able to find the den soon.
And: such impressive photos, the river fuller than full and this beautiful rainbow
Is there finally water in the Maxabene riverbed?
Yes, there is water everywhere. Every single drainage line and dry river bed is flowing constantly at the moment.
It seems this year is meant to be a wet one, as here in Northern California we’ve had some brutal rain storms as well. However unlike the roads within Londolozi, ours are paved so no worries about erosion, etc. Even if a drive is rained out, there is something magical about watching and listening to the rain fall, either from the deck of one’s room or from the main deck of each camp. It’s also a great opportunity to explore the gardens around camp, to seek out birds, lizards or whatever might be trying to stay dry or be enjoying the rain. The animals know what to do during serious rain storms, finding shelter as best they can but I am worrying about Ximungwe and her cubs. Unless they’re tucked into boulder crevices, they can get wet and cold while she’s hunting and I would think it could lead to their demise. But Ximungwe is smart and experienced so I’ll remain optimistic, knowing that after the rains subside you can venture into the blocks in search of her and the den. In the meantime, keep your wellies handy……
Thankfully there is still a lot to do should the game drives be rained out. I have a good feeling that Ximungwe is keeping her cubs in a cluster of boulders and they will be warm and safe, I doubt they are dry but they should be alright.
Hi Sean, so much rain can bring lots of complications to the bush and soil. I am sure the Land Rovers will get stuck in the mud and it is better to wait it off than to go and erode the ground more than it already is. I feel sorry for guests that come from far expecting to see the amazing animals, but cannot go out at all. I am sure all the Rangers and Trackers are feeling helpless as well, but there is nothing anyone can do besides just waiting it out. I truly hope the Ximungwe female keeps her tiny fur balls safe and warm.
Lets just say, yes the pink pouch has changed hands a few times already. We have to just wait it out and hope that it passes soon. I am hopeful that the Ximungwe Cubs are alright.